Lead Lifecycle¶
How a lead moves from "name on a list" to "paying customer" to "expansion / referral / Rig opportunity." Every step has clear definitions, clear ownership, and clear next actions.
The 12 stages¶
Lead → Outreach → Engaged → Discovery Booked → Discovery Done
→ Demo Booked → Demo Done → Trial Active → Closed Won (Pro / Team)
→ [Customer states: Active / Expansion / Churn Risk / Churned]
Plus two terminal states: - Closed Lost (didn't convert, reason coded) - Disqualified (wrong fit, reason coded)
Stage definitions + entry/exit criteria¶
Stage 1 — Lead¶
- Definition: A name is in HubSpot. Nothing else.
- Entry: Lead sourced from any channel (cold outbound, inbound, referral, paid social, event)
- Exit: First touch sent
- Owner: Agent assigned at sourcing
- SLA: First touch within 5 business days of sourcing
Stage 2 — Outreach¶
- Definition: At least one touch sent (email, LinkedIn, phone)
- Entry: First touch logged
- Exit: Prospect replies, opens 2+ emails, accepts LI connection, or sequence completes
- Owner: Sourcing agent
- SLA: Full sequence completes within 14 days
Stage 3 — Engaged¶
- Definition: Prospect has actively engaged (reply, multiple opens, accepted connection)
- Entry: Engagement signal received
- Exit: Discovery call booked OR prospect explicitly disqualifies
- Owner: Sourcing agent
- SLA: Convert to Discovery Booked within 7 days of first engagement
Stage 4 — Discovery Booked¶
- Definition: 15-minute discovery call on calendar
- Entry: Calendar event confirmed
- Exit: Call completed (move to Discovery Done) OR no-show (move back to Engaged or Lost)
- Owner: Sourcing agent
- SLA: Call within 7 days of booking
Stage 5 — Discovery Done¶
- Definition: Discovery call completed; prospect qualified
- Entry: Call notes logged
- Exit: Demo booked OR moved to Trial Active OR Closed Lost
- Owner: Sourcing agent (often same as discovery caller)
- SLA: Next action (demo or trial) within 5 business days
Stage 6 — Demo Booked¶
- Definition: 30-minute demo on calendar
- Entry: Calendar event confirmed
- Exit: Demo completed
- Owner: Discovery agent
- SLA: Demo within 10 days of booking
Stage 7 — Demo Done¶
- Definition: Demo completed
- Entry: Demo notes logged
- Exit: Trial activated OR closed on-the-spot OR moved to Closed Lost
- Owner: Demo agent
- SLA: Next action within 3 business days
Stage 8 — Trial Active¶
- Definition: Customer is on a 30-day Pro trial
- Entry: Trial activated (in product OR via promo code)
- Exit: Trial ends with conversion OR trial ends without conversion
- Owner: Trial-converting agent
- SLA: Check-in touches at Day 3, Day 7, Day 14, Day 21, Day 26 (see sales-playbook/outreach-sequences.md)
Stage 9 — Closed Won (Pro)¶
- Definition: Customer is paying for Pro (monthly or annual)
- Entry: Stripe payment received
- Exit: Customer churns OR upgrades to Team OR expands within firm
- Owner: Closing agent retains relationship through Day 90; then routed to account management
Stage 10 — Closed Won (Team)¶
- Definition: Customer is paying for Team tier (3+ seats)
- Entry: Stripe payment received
- Exit: Customer churns OR upgrades to Enterprise (escalate)
- Owner: Closing agent retains relationship through Day 90
Stage 11 — Closed Lost¶
- Definition: Customer did not convert; reason coded
- Reason codes (required):
- Price
- Wrong product fit
- Wrong device
- Timing — re-engage [date]
- Going with competitor — [name]
- No budget
- Internal politics
- Lost contact / unresponsive
- Re-engagement: auto-trigger 90-day re-engagement task for "Timing" code; otherwise dormant
Stage 12 — Disqualified¶
- Definition: Prospect was never the right fit; do not pursue
- Reason codes:
- Anti-persona (hobbyist, indoor-only, etc.)
- Wrong industry
- Too small
- Hostile / abusive
- Compliance / sanction risk
- Re-engagement: none
Post-purchase customer lifecycle¶
Once a customer is Closed Won, they enter the customer lifecycle:
Active¶
- Definition: Customer is using LAIRA regularly, subscription is in good standing
- Owner: Closing agent (Day 1–90); then account management
- Trigger to next stage: Churn signal OR expansion signal
Expansion¶
- Definition: Customer is using LAIRA enough that adding more seats / upgrading is in scope
- Signals: 3+ paying Pro users at the same firm; usage > 90th percentile; explicit mention of "we need more seats" / "my team also wants this"
- Owner: Closing agent
- Action: Pro → Team conversion conversation, or Team seat-expansion close
Churn Risk¶
- Definition: Customer is showing churn signals
- Signals: No login in 30 days; NPS 0–6; explicit cancellation conversation; complaint pattern
- Owner: Closing agent + Amir if revenue is meaningful
- Action: Save-the-account play. Recovery call. Address the specific concern. Escalate as needed.
Churned¶
- Definition: Customer has cancelled
- Reason codes (required):
- Price
- Product gap
- Switched to competitor
- Internal change (laid off, role change, company dissolved)
- Project ended
- Other
- Action: Mandatory exit interview within 7 days
- Re-engagement: auto-trigger 6-month win-back task
Stage transition SLAs (target)¶
| Transition | Median target | Stretch target |
|---|---|---|
| Lead → Outreach | 2 days | <1 day |
| Outreach → Engaged | 7 days | <3 days |
| Engaged → Discovery Booked | 5 days | <2 days |
| Discovery Done → Demo Booked | 3 days | Same day |
| Demo Done → Trial Active | 1 day | Same day |
| Trial Active → Closed Won | 14 days | <7 days |
Total median funnel: ~30 days from sourcing to paid customer.
Funnel volumetrics (year 1 floor)¶
The year-1 target is ~1,200 paying customers (mix per persona in sales-playbook/icp-and-personas.md). The funnel math:
| Stage | Volume | Conversion to next |
|---|---|---|
| Lead | 100,000 | 15% to Outreach |
| Outreach | 100,000 (all leads worked) | 25% to Engaged |
| Engaged | 25,000 | 16% to Discovery Booked |
| Discovery Booked | 4,000 | 65% to Discovery Done (35% no-show / cancel) |
| Discovery Done | 2,600 | 75% to Demo Booked |
| Demo Booked | 1,950 | 80% to Demo Done |
| Demo Done | 1,560 | 75% to Trial Active |
| Trial Active | 1,170 | 50% to Closed Won (Pro / Team) |
| Closed Won | 585 | — |
Wait — that's 585 not 1,200. The realistic year-1 floor is closer to 600 paying customers assuming conservative conversion. The 1,200 target is the stretch goal assuming above-baseline conversion + inbound contribution. Both numbers are useful — 600 is "we did our job," 1,200 is "we exceeded."
Pipeline coverage requirement¶
At any time, the call center should have 3x pipeline coverage of the current quarter's revenue target.
If Q3 2026 target is $50K of new ACV, pipeline at start of Q3 should be $150K of open opportunities in HubSpot.
If coverage drops below 2x, that's a leading indicator of revenue miss the following quarter — sound the alarm in the next weekly report.
Stage-by-stage owner accountability¶
- Lead → Demo Done: Source / discovery / demo agent (often same person)
- Trial Active → Closed Won: Conversion-focused agent (may be same)
- Closed Won → Day 90: Closing agent (retention + first-90-day success)
- Day 90+: Account management (Airwai-owned for high-value customers; call center for long-tail)
- Expansion / Rig signals: Closing agent (Rig signals → escalate immediately for +5% commission)